The first step for the Boston Red Sox in David Ortizs final postseason begins
with a familiar foe in Cleveland Indians manager Terry Francona, who managed Big
Papi to his first two World Series titles in 2004 and 2007.
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edge when the Red Sox-Indians ALDS matchup starts in Cleveland on Thursday
night??Go inside the numbers and matchups that will decide Game 1, and then go
to the bottom of the page and vote for which team will win.Inside the pitching
matchupWhen Porcello is on the mound: ?The Red Sox acquired Porcello from the
Tigers for Yoenis Cespedes after the 2014 season, signed him to an $82.5 million
extension ... and he promptly tanked in 2015, going 9-15 with a 4.92 ERA. Its
been a different story in 2016; hes perhaps the Cy Young favorite after going
22-4 with a 3.15 ERA in a career-high 223 innings.What led to the improvement?
Porcellos strikeout rate is only 1 percent higher than last year, and while he
did cut his walk rate to a career low, an ESPN stat we monitor called hard-hit
average says Porcello basically gave up the same percentage of hard-hit balls:
15.5 percent in 2016 versus 14.4 percent in 2015. His batting average on balls
in play, however, was dramatically lower, dropping from .333 to .269. He
stranded more runners.Porcello is known for his two-seam sinker, and Red Sox
pitching coach Carl Willis has said Porcello got too reliant on his four-seam
fastball but went back more to his two-seamer. ESPN data says he cut his
fastball percentage from 47.6 percent last year to 21.1 percent and increased
his sinker rate from 18.5 to 40.6 percent. Porcello also said he was getting
off-balance over the rubber last year, which led to rushing his lower half and
creating command issues.Anyway, his sinker isnt conventional, because he throws
it in the middle of the strike zone, not down at the knees or below, relying
more on movement than location. Thats one reason hes not an extreme ground-ball
pitcher -- hes about league average in that regard. In fact, he had the lowest
ground-ball rate of his career at 44 percent. Beyond that, what makes him tough
is that he also has a changeup, curveball and slider and throws them all from
12-14 percent of the time. His highest strikeout rate with any pitch actually
came on his four-seamer, so hell often pitch backward, starting off with the
sinker or breaking balls and then climbing the ladder with the fastball.
--?David SchoenfieldWhen Bauer is on the mound: Corey Kluber strained a groin in
his final start, so the Indians will give Bauer the ball in the opener, with
Kluber getting an extra day of rest and starting Game 2. Bauer actually began
the season in the Indians bullpen and didnt start until April 30, after Carlos
Carrasco got injured for the first time. Bauer had a nice 10-start stretch
through early July when he posted a 2.42 ERA, but he wasnt able to maintain that
level and finished with a 4.26 ERA, including 6.39 in September.Bauers issue has
always been command. He led the AL in walks in 2015 and ranked seventh this
year. Whats at odds here is that Bauer does throw a high percentage of pitches
in the strike zone: Porcello was first in this area among qualified starters,
but Bauer ranked 19th. Even when he gets to three balls, he ranks 13th in zone
rate. The problem is that he gets to too many three-ball counts. He also has the
second-highest walk rate when he has two strikes.Bauer pitches off a fastball
that averages 93.2 mph, preferring to work middle-away to both lefties and
righties. He works up in the zone with the fastball, which has led to a .447
slugging percentage allowed on the pitch. He adds a curveball, cutter and
changeup, with the curveball his go-to wipeout pitch -- batters hit
.134/.145/.221 with a 45 percent strikeout rate against it. If Bauer can get to
curveball counts, he can be tough. If not, it usually means hes walking batters
and theyre sitting on his fastball. -- SchoenfieldPlayer in the spotlightDavid
Ortiz. Can he top his regular season? Ortiz wasnt quite as dominant away from
Fenway, but he still hit .295/.372/.556 on the road. He also slugged .665
against right-handed pitchers, and in six games against the Indians he hit .458
with four home runs. Small sample size: Hes 4-for-5 off Bauer with two doubles
and a home run. ?-- David SchoenfieldWhat will decide Thursday nights gameCan
the Indians jump on the first pitch? Porcello threw pitches in the strike zone
on 57.9 percent of his first pitches, the 9th-highest rate in the majors.
Opponents had a .384 BA in at-bats ending with the first pitch, which was 44
points above league average among qualified pitchers. The Indians hit 40 HR on
the first pitch, tied for 5th most in MLB. ? --?ESPN Stats & InfoChoosing
sides: Who will win?What, you think now is a good time to pick against Rick
Porcello? Bostons unexpected Cy Young candidate might lose in the postseason,
but it wont be Thursday night. The vaunted Red Sox offense will make certain of
it against Trevor Bauer, who began the season in the bullpen. The Sox got to
Bauer for four runs on eight hits in five innings earlier this season. That
would be more than enough support for Porcello. -- Scott LauberThe Red Sox are
going to swipe home field in Game 1. Going against history, Sox starter Rick
Porcello will have his way with Indians slugger Carlos Santana. Santana has
blistered Porcello in the past with 12 hits in 41 at-bats (.293), including
three homers. However, Porcello will continue his bounce-back, maybe Cy
Young-worthy year by pitching Boston to an opening-game victory, and it will
start by controlling the Tribes power-hitting leadoff man, Santana. ?-- Andrew
MarchandWhere the series standsId argue that Game 1 is more important for the
Red Sox, since you might give the pitching edge to the Indians in Game 2,
assuming Kluber is healthy and given David Prices struggles in the postseason in
his career. The Red Sox averaged 4.95 runs on the road versus 5.89 at home, and
keep in mind that Sox closer Craig Kimbrel struggled with walks his final few
regular-season appearances. ?--?Schoenfield
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team worked out centre Jason Collins, who would become the first openly gay
active NBA player if signed.
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Star, a knee injury will keep Sundin out of the lineup, which includes former
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.C. -- After a listless first half, the Washington Wizards used a big third
quarter run to beat the Charlotte Bobcats Bradley Beal scored 21 points and the
Wizards used a 17-0 run in the third quarter to take control of what had been a
close game and beat the Bobcats 97-83 on Tuesday night. Its here: The countdown
of All-Time #MLBRank moves into the top 100 baseball players across all
positions.To create our list, an ESPN expert panel voted on thousands of
head-to-head matchups of 162 players, based on both peak performance and career
value.The Top 100 will roll out this week. Here are Nos. 90-81.Earlier Monday,
we released Nos. 100-91.Weve also rolled out the top 10 players at each
position: LHP | RHP | Catchers | Shortstops | Third basemen | Second basemen |
First basemen | Left fielders | Center fielders | Right fieldersAll-Time
#MLBRank: 90-81Join the discussion by using the #MLBRank hashtag, and follow
along @BBTN and on Facebook.Paul MolitorPosition(s) Designated hitter, third
base, second baseTeams Milwaukee Brewers (1978-92), Toronto Blue Jays (93-95),
Minnesota Twins (96-98)Honors Seven-time All-Star (1980, 85, 88, 91-94), four
Silver Sluggers (87-88, 93, 96),?World Series MVP (1993), Hall of Fame
(2004)Championships 1 -- Toronto (1993)Career stats .306/.369/.448, OPS -- .817,
Hits -- 3,319, HRs -- 234, RBIs -- 1,307Did you know? Molitor had 3,319 career
hits in the regular season and 43 more in the postseason, including 23 in 13
World Series games. Molitors .418 World Series batting average is tied with
Pepper Martin for the highest among players with at least 60 plate appearances.
-- Mark Simon, ESPN Stats & InfoRobin YountPosition(s) Shortstop, center
fieldTeams Milwaukee Brewers (1974-93)Honors Three-time All-Star (80, 82-83),
three Silver Sluggers (80, 82, 89), Gold Glove (82), two-time MVP (1982, 89),
?Hall of Fame (99)Championships NoneCareer stats .285/.342/.430, OPS -- .772,
Hits -- 3,142, HRs -- 251, RBIs-- 1,406Did you know?Yount won the AL MVP as a
shortstop in 1982 and as a center fielder in 1989. Hes one of four players to
win the award at multiple positions, along with Hank Greenberg, Stan Musial and
Alex Rodriguez. -- SimonOzzie SmithPosition(s) ShortstopTeams San Diego Padres
(1978-81), St. Louis Cardinals (82-96)Honors 13 Gold Gloves (1980-92),?15-time
All-Star (81-92, 94-96), Silver Slugger (87), Hall of Fame (2002)Championships 1
-- St. Louis (1982)Career stats .262/.337/.328, OPS -- .666, Hits -- 2,460, HRs
-- 28, RBIs -- 793, SB -- 580Did you know?580 The Wizard is considered the best
defensive shortstop of all time -- from a time long before defensive runs saved
existed to quantify it (he won 13 Gold Gloves). Smith had 76.5 wins above
replacement in his career, third among shortstops in the live ball era. The two
ahead of him on the list (Cal Ripken Jr. and Robin Yount) each had at least 250
home runs. -- Sarah Langs, Stats & InfoDuke SniderPosition(s) Center
fieldTeams Brooklyn Dodgers (1947-57), Los Angeles Dodgers (58-62), New York
Mets (63), San Francisco Giants (64)Honors Eight-time All-Star (1950-56, 63),
Hall of Fame (80)Championships 2 -- Brooklyn (1955), Los Angeles (59)Career
stats .295/.380/.540, OPS -- .919, Hits -- 2,116, HRs -- 407, RBIs --1,333Did
you know? Snider might not have been as strong of an all-around player as the
players with whom hes most often brought up: Willie Mays and Mickey Mantle. But
he did something that neither Mays nor Mantle did: hit at least 40 home runs in
five straight seasons. At the time he did it, Snider was the third with at least
five straight such seasons, joining Babe Ruth and Ralph Kiner. -- SimonJohn
SmoltzPosition(s) Right-handed starter, relieverTeams Atlanta Braves (1988-99,
2001-08), Boston Red Sox (09), St. Louis Cardinals (09)Honors Eight-time NL
All-Star (89, 92-93, 96, 02-03, 05, 07), NL Cy Young (1996), NL Silver Slugger
(97), Hall of Fame (15)Championships 1 -- Atlanta (1995)Career stats W-L:
213-155, 16 shutouts, 3,473.0 innings pitched, 3.33 ERA, 3,084 strikeouts, 1.176
WHIP, 154 savesDid you know? Smoltz began his career as a starter, winning 157
games for the Braves from 1988-1999 including 24 games and the Cy Young award in
1996. He became a reliever following Tommy John surgery in 2000 and saved 154
games over the next four seasons. He is the only pitcher in MLB history with 200
wins and 150 saves. -- Jacob Nitzberg, Stats & InfoBryce HarperPosition
RRight field?Teams Washington Nationals (2012-present)Honors Rookie of the Year
(2012), MVP (15), Silver Slugger (15), four-time All-Star (12-13,
15-16)Championships NoneCareer stats .
Chad Kelly Youth Jersey. 283/.386/.512, OPS
-- .898, Hits -- 604, HRs -- 116, RBIs -- 300Did you know? In 2015, Harper
became the first player in Expos/Nationals history to win an MVP award and was
the fourth-youngest player to win it, per the Elias Sports Bureau. Harper became
just the 6th player in the expansion era to lead the National League in runs,
home runs, and OPS in a single season. -- Marty Callinan, Stats & InfoTim
RainesPosition(s) Left fieldTeams Montreal Expos (1979-90, 2001), Chicago White
Sox (91-95), New York Yankees (96-98), Oakland As (99), Baltimore Orioles (01),
Florida Marlins (02)Honors Seven-time NL All-Star (1981-87),?NL Silver Slugger
(86),?All-Star Game MVP (87)?Championships 1 -- New York (1996)Career stats
.294/.385/.425, OPS -- .810, Hits -- 2,605, HRs -- 170, RBIs -- 980, SB --
808Did you know? Argued by many as the most underrated player of the 80s and
90s, Raines possessed a remarkable blend of on-base skill and speed. He stole
more bases (808) than all but four players in MLB history and reached base more
times (3,977) than Tony Gwynn, Lou Brock and Mike Schmidt, among others. He was
named an All-Star in seven consecutive seasons (1981-87) and owns the
fifth-highest career WAR (69.1) among those whose primary position was left
field. -- Paul Hembekides, Stats & InfoVladimir GuerreroPosition(s) Right
fieldTeams Montreal Expos (1996-2003), Anaheim Angels (04), Los Angeles Angels
(05-09), Texas Rangers (10), Baltimore Orioles (11)Honors Four-time NL All-Star
(1999-02), five-time AL All-Star (2004-07, 10), three NL Silver Sluggers
(1999-00, 02), five AL Silver Sluggers (2004-07, 10),?AL MVP (2004)Championships
NoneCareer stats .318/.379/.553, OPS -- .931, Hits -- 2,590, HRs -- 449, RBIs --
1,496Did you know? Vlad the Impaler is best remembered for his ability to hit
practically any pitch and his extraordinary throwing arm from right field.
Guerrero owns the second-highest career batting average (.318) among members of
the 400-home run club to debut since World War II (Miguel Cabrera, .320). The
2004 AL MVP and nine-time All-Star led NL right fielders in assists on three
occasions and is the only player in the live ball era (since 1920) to lead the
NL and AL in total bases in a season. -- HembekidesEddie CollinsPosition(s)
Second baseTeams Philadelphia As (1906-14, 27-30), Chicago White Sox
(15-26)Honors MVP (1914), Hall of Fame (39)Championships 4 -- Philadelphia
(1910-11, 13), Chicago (17)Career stats .333/.424/.429, OPS -- .853, Hits --
3,315, HRs -- 47, RBIs -- 1,300, Sacrifice hits -- 512 (all-time leader)Did you
know? Even despite a record 515 sacrifice hits, Collins still ranks 10th all
time with 3,313 hits. Collins also ranks in the top 10 in stolen bases and was
the only player in the first 90 seasons of the modern era to steal six bases in
one game. -- Dan Braunstein, Stats & Info*Note that although
Baseball-Reference lists Collins with 512 sacrifice hits and 3,315 hits, the
Elias Book of Baseball Records lists him with 515 and 3,313, respectively.
(Reference also lists Collins as 11th all-time in hits instead of 10th).Don
DrysdalePosition(s) Right-handed starterTeams Brooklyn Dodgers (1956-57), Los
Angeles Dodgers (58-69)Honors Nine-time All-Star (1959*, 61-65, 67, 68),?Cy
Young (62), Hall of Fame (1984)*Played in two All-Star Games in 59Championships
3 -- Los Angeles (1959, 63, 65)Career stats W-L: 209-166, 49 shutouts, 3,432
innings pitched, 2.95 ERA, 2,486 strikeouts, 1.148 WHIPDid you know? Drysdale is
best remembered for a 58-inning scoreless streak in 1968. How good was he that
season? Consider this: After the streak was over, Drysdale had five starts in
which he allowed at least five earned runs (including one in which he allowed
eight). But he still finished the season with a 2.15 ERA, the best of his
career. -- Simon
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